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2024-12-13 05:53:20

It can be seen from the trend of today's market and growth enterprise market that although the two important indexes are not too big in the end, the differentiation is still obvious. The market is still stable in the strong area above 3400 points and the 5-day line, while the GEM index is still in the box structure. Then, will the whole market continue to go up along the pace of the broader market, or will it fall back to the box structure with the GEM?First, this year we will successfully complete the economic growth target set at the beginning of the year! The meeting held that this year is a crucial year to realize the objectives and tasks of the 14 th Five-Year Plan, and China's economic strength, scientific and technological strength and comprehensive national strength have been continuously enhanced. The new quality productivity has developed steadily, the reform and opening up has continued to deepen, the risk mitigation in key areas has been orderly and effective, and the people's livelihood security has been solid and powerful. The main objectives and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year will be successfully completed.During this period, many investors are worried that the economic growth rate is less than expected, and that the economic recovery is too fast, and the future policy support will decline. This mentality of being swayed by considerations of gain and loss is the main obstacle that causes the A-share market to hesitate. This Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party meeting is the first time in 14 years that a "moderately loose" monetary policy has been set again, which is equivalent to removing a big stone in the hearts of bulls!


Seeing the momentum of last Friday, many friends will think that the performance of the A-share market will not be too bad this Monday. However, what everyone didn't expect was that today's market not only didn't continue to be strong, but even a round of rapid diving appeared in the afternoon, which surprised everyone into a cold sweat. The growth enterprise market refers to a worse situation. Last Friday, it finally broke through the pressure level of the 20-day line, and today it fell back. This situation of breaking through the key pressure level and falling back quickly is usually called a false breakthrough, which is a main form of main force attracting more; On the contrary, it is the usual skill of the main force to wash the dishes in a broken position, fall through the key support level and then collect them quickly.Second, in the case of achieving the goal, we will continue to adhere to a positive macro-adjustment policy! The meeting stressed that it is necessary to do a good job in economic work next year, implement more active and promising macro policies, expand domestic demand, promote the integrated development of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation, stabilize the property market and stock market, prevent and resolve risks and external shocks in key areas, stabilize expectations, stimulate vitality, promote sustained economic recovery, continuously improve people's living standards, maintain social harmony and stability, and complete the objectives and tasks of the 14 th Five-Year Plan with high quality, so as to lay a solid foundation for achieving a good start of the 15 th Five-Year Plan.To understand this problem, we need to know the reasons for the divergence between the two indexes today, so as to judge the market trend in the later period.


First, this year we will successfully complete the economic growth target set at the beginning of the year! The meeting held that this year is a crucial year to realize the objectives and tasks of the 14 th Five-Year Plan, and China's economic strength, scientific and technological strength and comprehensive national strength have been continuously enhanced. The new quality productivity has developed steadily, the reform and opening up has continued to deepen, the risk mitigation in key areas has been orderly and effective, and the people's livelihood security has been solid and powerful. The main objectives and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year will be successfully completed.In Saturday's article and this morning's [A-share news], Jun Ge clearly pointed out that the main force to make A-shares last Friday was the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF, and it was the national team hidden behind the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF! The reason why the national team chose to enter the arena last Friday is that Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party has great benefits; The second is to maintain stability and prevent the A-share market from falling sharply during the meeting.Now, if you look back at Friday's breakthrough in the broader market and the Xinhua News Agency's announcement over the weekend, you should have a new understanding of the next market!

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